It may be that the electorate is not blaming Boris Johnson for the Brexit delay - if anything his support base is growing. PLEASE SUPPORT MY YOUTUBE WORK VIA PATREON:
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A few weeks ago there had been indications that the Tories and the prime Minister, Boris Johnson, would suffer in the polls should they fail to get Brexit delivered by tonight.
However, a very recent poll by Ipsos MORI indicates that the voting public may not be as ready as people thought to lay the blame for this Brexit delay at the feet of Boris Johnson.
The data for the poll was collected just before the general election was called and shows that the Conservative Party has increased its popularity by 8 percent, since the last poll in September, to take them to 41%.
This gives the Tories a huge 17 point lead over the Labour Party that is stagnating in second place on 24%.
I'm led to believe that the election candidates for The Brexit Party have been told to keep schtum from now on and give nothing away and not to answer any questions about the party's election strategy. And also that they've paused their Facebook ad programme.
There is therefore speculation that some sort of informal pact between the Tories and Brexit Party is being formulated.
For those that want a more formal and open agreement, that could pose problems for The Brexit Party.
You see, if the plan is for the Brexit Party to stand in Labour constituencies, they cannot afford for their candidates to be seen as mere Tory surrogates.
And to add a little further division between the Tories and the Brexit Party, Boris Johnson was on a visit to Addenbrooke's Hospital in Cambridge today, where he said that he had an oven-ready deal that could ensure that Brexit got done as soon as he was returned to Downing Street on the 12th of December.
This does not sound like someone who would use the leverage of a parliamentary majority to get further concessions out of the EU or leave without a deal, does it.
And given the criticism that has been levelled at that deal by Nigel Farage, it would raise eyebrows were Farage now to move aside in favour of the Tories, apart from standing candidates in only 20 to 40 Labour seats with a high Brexit vote.
Jeremy Corbyn has been setting out his Labour Party wares in the Battersea Arts Centre today, at the start of his election campaign.
And he's promised to sort out Brexit in six months.
And he said today, that sorting out Brexit 'isn't that complicated'.
And Corbyn also wants to nationalise rail, mail and water - but if he ends up keeping the UK in the EU, most of that will of course be undeliverable under EU state aid rules etc.
But remember, that as things stand, it means that the potential for a clean break Brexit has re-emerged despite the Remainer MP manoeuvrings over the last few months to remove it.
Not only could this occur on the 31st of January next year, it could also happen at the end of 2020 if the UK signs up to the Boris Withdrawal Agreement treaty, or some updated version of it, and we fail to strike a deal with the EU before the end of the implementation period.
Now that implementation period end date, could be further extended. But to do so, the UK government would have to ask for that negotiation extension by June 2020!
But remember that the EU Decision extending the Article 50 process, gives two dates on which we can leave the EU, prior to 11 pm on the 31st of January, as long as we have a fully ratified deal in place.
Those dates are, the first of December and the First of January.
Given that parliament will be dissolved in the middle of next week for the General Election on the 12th of December, that rules out the UK leaving with a deal on the first of December and with another Queen's speech and Christmas so close it probably also rules out an early exit on the first of January.
Which means that, if we do leave on the Boris deal it will probably take place at 11 pm on the 31st of January and we would then go into the implementation phase for future relationship talks under the Political Declaration.
That would therefore only give us about four months to decide to ask for an extension to the implementation period and, if we don't, we leave deal or no deal at the end of 2020.
#BorisJohnson
#GeneralElection
#NigelFarage
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